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Extreme Precipitation and Flooding (75 Papers)

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Shortlist Attribution Region SubCategory Year # Citations Cite As DOI Key Quote
Warming Germany Floods2009 226Top (Petrow and Merz, 2009)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.03.024Flood time series are derived and analyzed for trends for 145 discharge gauges in Germany. A common time period of 52 years (1951-2002) is used...Our analysis detects significant flood trends (at the 10% significance level) for a considerable fraction of basins. In most cases, these trends are upward; decreasing flood trends are rarely found and are not field-significant...the observed changes in flood behavior are climate-driven.
Anthropogenic France Extreme Precipitation2019 10Top (Ribes et al., 2019)https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4179-2We examine long-term trends in the historical record of extreme precipitation events occurring over the French Mediterranean area...The mean intensity increase is significant and estimated at + 22% (+ 7 to + 39% at the 90% confidence level) over the 1961-2015 period...We argue that it is difficult to explain the diagnosed trends without invoking the human influence on climate.
Temporal United States Extreme Precipitation2012 178Top (Groisman et al., 2012)https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-11-039.1During the past 31 yr (compared to the 1948-78 period), significant increases occurred in the frequency of very heavy (the daily rain events above 76.2 mm) and extreme precipitation events (defined as daily and multiday rain events with totals above 154.9 mm or 6 in.), with up to 40% increases in the frequency of days and multiday extreme rain events
Warming North America Extreme Precipitation2008 148Top (Peterson et al., 2008)https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD009453Station data from Canada, the United States, and Mexico enabled analysis of changes in North American extremes starting in 1950...On the basis of several measures, heavy precipitation has been increasing over the last half century, and the average amount of precipitation falling on days with precipitation has also been increasing.
Warming Global Extreme Precipitation2009 3Top (Höppe and Grimm, 2009)https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-77353-7_2Throughout the world...natural catastrophes have increased dramatically and are causing more and more damage...The upward trend in numbers of natural catastrophes is mainly due to weather-related events such as windstorms and floods...there is some justification for assuming that this trend is the result of changes in the atmosphere, most probably global warming.
Temporal United States Extreme Precipitation2013 375Top (Kunkel, 2013)https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00262.1There is strong evidence for a nationally averaged upward trend in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events
Temporal Global Floods2002 1151Top (Milly et al., 2002)https://doi.org/10.1038/415514aUsing both streamflow measurements and numerical simulations...We find that the frequency of great floods increased substantially during the twentieth century.
Temporal United States Extreme Precipitation2020 29Top (Kunkel et al., 2020)https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-19-0185.1Trends of extreme precipitation (EP) using various combinations of average return intervals (ARIs) of 1, 2, 5, 10, and 20 years...were calculated regionally across the contiguous United States. Nationally, trends are upward...for both the frequency of extreme events and the proportion of total precipitation contributed by the extreme events...the trends for the frequency of extreme events are largest for ARIs of 20 years, the rarest event considered here.
Temporal United States Extreme Precipitation2020 6Top (Tharu & Dhakal, 2020)https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-019-03054-wHistoric precipitation time series over the period of 65 years (1950-2014) for 1108 sites was used for the analysis. Our results show that changes in upper quantiles of the distributions of the extreme precipitation (for both ADM and MM) have occurred at a much higher rate than previously believed.
Warming United States Extreme Precipitation2019 43Top (Wright et al., 2019)https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083235Rainfall events that exceed common engineering design criteria, including 100-year storms, have increased in frequency in most parts of the United States since 1950...we show that in most locations, these increases are likely due to climate warming.
Temporal Global Extreme Precipitation2019 192Top (Papalexiou and Montanari, 2019)https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024067Here we perform a global analysis of 8,730 daily precipitation records focusing on the 1964-2013 period when the global warming accelerates...globally, over the last decade of the studied period we find 7% more extreme events than the expected number.
Anthropogenic Global Extreme Precipitation2020 31Top (Paik et al., 2020)https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086875During 1951-2015...anthropogenic greenhouse gas influence is robustly detected in the observed intensification of extreme precipitation over the global land and most of the sub-regions considered
Warming Global Extreme Precipitation2008 43Top (Trenberth, 2008)https://doi.org/10.1002/0470848944.hsa211There is a direct influence of global warming on changes in precipitation and heavy rains...globally averaged over the land area with sufficient data, the percentage contribution to total annual precipitation from very wet days (upper 5%) has increased in the past 50 years.
Temporal Global Extreme Precipitation2019 50Top (Donat et al., 2019)https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab1c8eWe use the globally most complete observational datasets that allow analysis of daily-scale precipitation extremes over the recent 60 year period 1951 to 2010...observations indicate increases in both total and extreme precipitation in the humid regions over the past 60 years...this study confirms that precipitation extremes are increasing in most land regions.
Warming United States Extreme Precipitation2021 8Top (Prein & Mearns, 2021)https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD034287Extreme precipitation has increased in frequency and intensity across the Conterminous U.S. This trend is expected to continue under future climate change.
Temporal Global Floods2022 2Top (Liu, Shi and Fang, 2022)https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-021-05150-5At a global scale, annual flood occurrence showed an increasing trend during the study period (with a Z value of 2.08 in the MK test). The monotonous increasing trend of global flood frequency was mainly caused by the increase in Level II and Level III flood frequencies, while Level I floods show an decreasing trend but not significant (Fig. 1 and Table 4).
Anthropogenic Global Extreme Precipitation2020 Top (Dong et al., 2020)https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-1017.1Here we conduct a formal detection and attribution analysis on changes in four percentile-based precipitation extreme indices...we show that most land areas with observations experienced increases in these extreme indices with global warming during the historical period 1951-2014...an optimal fingerprinting analysis reveals detectable anthropogenic signals in the observations of these indices averaged over the globe and over most continents.

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